國民黨內鬥頻仍,退黨事件不斷. Pendulum effect for KMT?

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去年九合一選舉以後,海外對台灣政情關心的學者專家,最常問道的題目是:國民黨這次大敗,下次會不會有鐘擺效應?或是還會再輸?我都保守回答說沒有鐘擺效應,但如果他們的領導人能反省改革,推出強棒就能止跌。看這半年多來內鬥頻仍,退黨事件不斷,又只怪別人,缺乏自我反省,應該也不會止跌。

After the 2014 9-in-1 election, the question I got asked most often by overseas scholars on Taiwan studies was whether there would be a pendulum effect for the KMT in 2016 or they will lose again. My conservative answer was that there would not be a pendulum effect in 2016 but if their leader can reflect on their defeat and reform, with a good candidate, they may be able to prevent [their support level] from falling further. However, their constant infighting over the past 6 months, recent waves of membership withdrawals and externalising blames all make it hard for them to prevent a losing streak.

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About Frank Hsieh

Former Premier, Former Kaohsiung Mayor 前行政院長、前高雄市長
本篇發表於 Commentary 時事評論, Facebook文章(中文), Politics - domestic 國內政治, Tweets (English)。將永久鏈結加入書籤。

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